This section looks back at some of the long-term changes in population, and also forward to the predicted changes in population numbers over years to come. It also considers the components of population change: births, deaths and migration. 

Census records allow us to track population changes in the Lancashire-14 area from 1891 to 2011. They present an interesting long-term viewpoint of how rates of population change have varied quite noticeably over this long time period. 

This section includes results for births and deaths, and they show the very noticeable variations between Lancashire authorities that have occurred since 1981.

The population density results reveal the significant variations between the highly urbanised authorities in Lancashire, and those with substantial rural areas.  

The yearly mid-year population estimates are normally released around June of each year and are one of the most important data sets that we analyse. The latest population figures for each area are widely requested, and underpin much of the more in-depth analysis that we undertake.

The population projections are also extremely important, and the next few years will see whether these projections, that are based on previous rates of change, need to be revised upwards in Preston and South Ribble as the City Deal initiative has an impact on new housing starts and completions.    

The latest official statistics on ethnicity are from the 2011 Census, and we provide detailed analysis of these down to ward level in our 2011 Census Articles section. The Office of National Statistics have produced some unofficial and experimental ethnicity statistics for 2015, which are at local authority level. The link to this report is in the separate panel at the bottom right / foot of the page. As they are very experimental, the results are included for two different models, and the upper and lower values for the confidence intervals are also included. For some of the minority ethnic groups the range between these intervals can be quite large. ONS stress the fact that the statistics are unofficial and we repeat their disclaimer in the panel above the hyperlink to the report. 

Page updated August 2018




Research Outputs: Ethnicity estimates from survey and administrative data, 2015


These Research Outputs are not official statistics. Rather they are published as outputs from research into an Administrative Data Census approach. These outputs must not be reproduced without this disclaimer and warning note and should not be used for policy- or decision-making.

Research Outputs: Ethnicity estimates from survey and administrative data, 2015