Lancashire-12 and 14 areas

Official yearly unemployment statistics for October 2016 to September 2017

Unemployment overview

Unemployment has fallen substantially since the peaks following the 2008/09 recession and the 16+ yearly unemployment rates are back to pre-recession levels, or lower. The UK yearly rate is the lowest in this series (since the year ending December 2004). 

Unemployment has continued to fall in the UK and North West region over the previous year. However, contrary to this, both the Lancashire-12 and Lancashire-14 areas have seen an increase in unemployment over the year.

These yearly unemployment figures are sourced from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) Annual Population Survey (APS), via the National On-line Manpower Information System (Nomisweb). They are published quarterly. Please note that the yearly statistics are different to the three monthly headline unemployment figures for the UK and regions that are reported each month in the media. The yearly statistics also lag the headline figures by two to five months.  

Figure U1: Official unemployment rate estimates from the year ending December 2004 to the year ending September 2017

Source: Office for National Statistics, Annual Population Survey, via the National On-line Manpower Information System (Nomisweb).

Unemployment for the year October 2016 to September 2017

Official estimates of unemployment in the UK, for the year from October 2016 to September 2017, totalled 1,493,300 persons with an estimated unemployment rate of 4.5% (+/- 0.1%). This yearly rate is the lowest in this series (since the year ending December 2004).

For the year ending September 2017, the estimated Lancashire-12 unemployment total was 26,100 persons, and the Lancashire-14 estimated unemployment total was 33.900 people.

Owing to the overlapping confidence intervals (the potential statistical variance), the two rates for the Lancashire-12 area (4.3% (+/- 1.1%)), and the Lancashire-14 area (4.6% (+/- 0.8%)), cannot be said to be higher or lower than the yearly UK unemployment rate (4.5% (+/- 0.1%)) in statistical terms.

The North West yearly unemployment estimate stood at 166,700 persons with an unemployment rate of 4.7% (+/- 0.3%)). Again, this was not statistically different to the UK rate.

Figure U2: Official unemployment rates with confidence intervals for the year October 2016 to September 2017

Source: Office for National Statistics, Annual Population Survey via the National On-line Manpower Information System (Nomisweb).

Yearly and recent changes in unemployment

United Kingdom - yearly and recent changes

Unemployment at the UK level has fallen by an estimated -151,700 persons (-9.2%) over the year, falling from 1,645,000 to 1,493,300 people. The UK rate fell by -0.5 percentage points, from 5.0% (+/- 0.1%), to 4.5% (+/- 0.1%) over the year.

Following the 2008/09 recession, UK unemployment peaked at an estimated 2,576,700 persons with a rate of 8.1% (+/- 1.0%) for the year ending June 2012. Since this time, UK unemployment is now estimated to be lower by 1,083,400 people (42.0%) and the rate has fallen by an estimated 3.6 percentage points.

Lancashire-12 area - yearly and recent changes

Contrary to the UK, the Lancashire-12 unemployment total has risen by an estimated 4,600 persons (21.4%) over the year, increasing from 21,500 people, to 26,100 people. The Lancashire-12 unemployment rate has increased by an estimated 0.7 percentage points, from 3.6% (+/- 1.0%), for the year ending September 2016, to 4.3% (+/- 1.1%), for the year ending September 2017.

Since the year ending December 2004, unemployment in the Lancashire-12 area is estimated to have reached a low point for the year ending December 2015, with 20,300 unemployed persons and a rate of 3.5% (+/- 1.0%). Since this time, unemployment in the Lancashire-12 area has risen by an estimated 5,800 persons (28.6%) and the rate has risen by 0.8 percentage points.

Following the 2008/09 recession, unemployment in the Lancashire-12 area peaked at an estimated 46,000 persons with a rate of 7.9% (+/- 1.4%) for the year ending December 2012. Since this time, unemployment has fallen by and estimated 19,900 persons (43.3%) and the rate has fallen by an estimated 3.6 percentage points.

Lancashire-14 area - yearly and recent changes

Again, contrary to the UK, unemployment in the Lancashire-14 area has risen by an estimated 4,500 persons (15.3%) over the year, increasing from 29,400 people, to 33,900 people. The Lancashire-14 unemployment rate has increased by an estimated 0.5 percentage points, from 4.1% (+/- 0.7%), for the year ending September 2016, to 4.6% (+/- 0.8%), for the year ending September 2017. Since the year ending December 2004, unemployment for the Lancashire-14 area is estimated to have reached a low point for the year ending September 2016.  

Following the 2008/09 recession, unemployment in the Lancashire-14 area peaked at an estimated 58,200 persons with a rate of 8.1% (+/- 1.0%), also for the year ending December 2012. Unemployment has fallen by and estimated 24,300 persons (41.8%) since this time, and the rate has fallen by an estimated 3.5 percentage points.

Table U1: Official unemployment estimates from the Annual Population Survey - persons aged 16+ for the year October 2016 to September 2017 and yearly changes (from the year to September 2016)

Notes: [1] Yearly estimates (produced quarterly). [2] The unemployment numbers and associated denominators (economically active populations aged 16+) in the table are rounded to the nearest 100, therefore the rates when calculated from the rounded figures may not match the actual published rates (which are calculated from unrounded figures). [3] Confidence intervals = 95% confidence interval of percentage figure. To obtain the full potential range of the unemployment rate (including the +/- confidence interval) add and subtract the confidence interval figure from the percentage unemployment rate. [4] Change in the unemployment rate: please note that although the number unemployed may not have changed, a change in the unemployment rate may occur owing to a change in the economically active denominator between dates.

Source: Annual Population Survey – Office for National Statistics – via the National On-line Manpower Information System (Nomisweb).

  Total unemployment estimates - for year from October 2016 to September 2017 Change since year to September 2016
Area Total number of persons unemployed All persons aged 16+ economically active Unemployment rate - all persons 16+ with confidence intervals (+/-%) given below  Number in rate
Lancashire-12 26,100 605,100 4.3 1.1 4,600 21.4 0.7
Lancashire-14 33,900 734,000 4.6 0.8 4,500 15.3 0.5
North West 166,700 3,531,600 4.7 03 -11,500 -6.5 -0.4
England 1,261,900 28,160,000 4.5 0.1 -126,000 -9.1 -0.5
Great Britain 1,451,800 32,379,800 4.5 0.1 -138,600 -8.7 -0.4
United Kingdom 1,493,300 33,257,900 4.5 0.1 -151,700 -9.2 -0.5

Lancashire-12 and Lancashire-14 geographies

The Lancashire-12 area is comprised of the 12 local authorities that fall within the Lancashire County Council administrative boundary. The Lancashire-14 area incorporates the two additional unitary authorities of Blackburn with Darwen and Blackpool and has the same geographic footprint as the Lancashire Local Enterprise Partnership (LEP) area.

The 12 local authorities within the LCC boundary are Burnley Borough Council, Chorley Borough Council, Fylde Borough Council, Hyndburn Borough Council, Lancaster City Council, Pendle Borough Council, Preston City Council, Ribble Valley Borough Council, Rossendale Borough Council, South Ribble Borough Council, West Lancashire Borough Council and Wyre Borough Council.    

Source of latest labour market data for local authority areas

The most up to date labour market variables and population figures are available within the labour market profiles for local authorities via the National Online Manpower Information Service (Nomis) web site.

Page updated January 2018

Unemployment