Covid-19 intelligence

This page brings together intelligence and information relating to Covid-19 in Lancashire from a variety of sources. We will continue to add more content as and when it is produced.

For Lancashire County Council's main coronavirus information and advice page please use this link: https://www.lancashire.gov.uk/health-and-social-care/your-health-and-wellbeing/coronavirus/   

The Lancashire Resilience Forum publishes a weekly bulletin with the latest figures on the number of coronavirus-related cases and deaths across Lancashire.

Contents

Mapping and quantifying high-risk populations for local planning
Small Area Vulnerability Index
Covid-19 case tracking and epidemiology
Covid-19 mortality at district level
Covid-19 mortality at MSOA level
Furloughed Employments

Mapping and quantifying high-risk populations for local planning

People aged 70 years and over are among those most at risk of severe illness from Covid-19. This interactive map from the Office for National Statistics shows densities of the population aged 70 and older and 85 and older down to neighbourhood level.

To view this and more information at source please visit: https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26

Small Area Vulnerability Index

The SAVI is an empirically informed measure of Covid-19 vulnerability for each middle-layer super output area (MSOA) in England. The SAVI index investigates the association between each predictor (proportion of the population from black, Asian and minority ethnic (BAME) backgrounds, income deprived, over 80 years old, living in care homes, living in overcrowded housing and having been admitted in the past five years for a chronic health condition) and Covid-19 mortality (between 1 March and 31 May 2020) using a multivariable Poisson regression, whilst accounting for the regional spread and duration of the epidemic.

For further background information visit: https://pldr.org/2020/06/18/exploring-the-vulnerability-to-covid19-between-communities-in-england/

 Source: Place-based Longitudinal Data Resource Experimental Measures Small Area Vulnerability Index

Covid-19 case tracking and epidemiology

The following information about Covid-19 cases comes from the Local Government Association.

Covid-19 mortality at district level

The following map charts deaths from Covid-19 against all deaths at local authority level. Select Lancashire from the drop-down box to bring up the latest data on Covid-19 mortality. This tool was produced and is updated by the Office for National Statistics. Further below are figures, also from the ONS, for Middle Layer Super Output Areas (MSOAs - click link for glossary definition). Enter a postcode to bring up the data for that MSOA area.

Covid-19 mortality at MSOA level

Furloughed Employments

Estimates of the numbers of claims made to the Coronavirus Job Retention Scheme (CJRS) to HM Revenue and Customs (HMRC) to 31 May 2020

The Coronavirus Job Retention Scheme (CJRS) was announced by the Government on 20 March 2020 in order to support employers who have been unable to undertake their normal activities through the COVID-19 period. Under CJRS, employers are able to claim support from the period starting 1 March 2020, where employees have already been furloughed from that date. The scheme currently provides employers with financial support up to 80% of salary, up to a maximum of £2,500 per month per employee, plus the associated Employer National Insurance contributions and pension contributions (up to the level of the minimum automatic enrolment employer pension contribution) on that subsidised furlough pay. Further details on the CJRS are available via the GOV.UK CJRS scheme guidance web link.

Area 2018 mid-year population estimates of the resident working age population aged 16 to 64 Total number of furloughed employments Furloughed employments as a percentage of the resident working age population aged 16 to 64
Burnley 53,600 11,200 20.9
Chorley 72,200 13,300 18.4
Fylde 45,600 8,700 19.1
Hyndburn 49,100 9,800 19.9
Lancaster 91,300 14,200 15.6
Pendle 55,100 12,100 21.9
Preston 92,200 15,400 16.7
Ribble Valley 35,600 7,900 22.2
Rossendale 43,900 8,400 19.1
South Ribble 66,900 12,500 18.7
West Lancashire 69,300 11,800 17.0
Wyre 63,100 12,100 19.2
Lancashire-12 area 738,000 137,500 18.6
Blackburn with Darwen 92,900 16,500 17.8
Blackpool 84,900 17,200 20.2
Lancashire-14 area 915,900 171,200 18.7
North West 4,542,500 828,900 18.2
England 35,049,500 6,445,800 18.4
Unknown area 41,645,800 1,093,700 2.6
United Kingdom 41,645,800 8,696,000 20.9

Notes: The data are classified as Experimental Statistics owing to the methodologies used still being in development. As a result, the data may be subject to future revision. Furloughed employments are based on each employee's residential address and may not match the place of work owing to travel to work patterns. Where submitted data cannot be matched or verified, it is allocated to the 'unknown' category. For an employer to qualify, they needed to have created a Pay As You Earn (PAYE) scheme by 19 March 2020.  A furloughed employee must have been employed on 19 March 2020 and the employer must have submitted a Real Time Information (RTI) submission to HMRC by 19 March 2020. A person may be furloughed by multiple employers (if applicable). 

Source: GOV.UK, HM Revenue & Customs, Coronavirus Job Retention Scheme (CJRS) statistics to 31 May 2020 (published 11 June 2020) and Office for National Statistics, 2018 mid-year population estimates.

 Table added 23 June 2020. For further information, please see the statistical bulletin and data available via the above GOV.UK CJRS web link.