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Employment in Central Lancashire

June 2004

Introduction

Central Lancashire is defined to include the four County Districts of Chorley, Preston, South Ribble and West Lancashire. The first three districts share a high degree of economic cohesion with strong residence and workplace trip linkages. West Lancashire, and particularly the major town of Skelmersdale, shares many of the general structural characteristics of the Central Lancashire sub-region but is slightly set apart because of strong economic linkages both with Merseyside and Greater Manchester as well as with other employment centres in Central Lancashire itself.

The Central Lancashire area recorded a resident mid-year population 2002 estimated at 444,300 or 31% of the Lancashire sub-region total. It has a strong and diverse economic base that for many years has been a powerhouse for jobs growth in the county. Benefiting from its location astride the main north/south transport routes, the sub-region today has a broad structure of industry that is not too dissimilar from the national pattern.

Long-term Employment Patterns


Employment in Central Lancashire

Central Lancashire's traditional strengths lay very much in the production industries with the earliest employment records for 1929 showing 65% of the insured workforce being engaged in manufacturing and just a fifth in services. However, the area was never quite as dependent on textiles as many other parts of the county and assisted by new activities established to aid the war effort, throughout post-war years managed a successful diversification into many new industries, including aerospace, motor vehicles and electrical and mechanical equipment as well as some of the non-engineering sectors. At the same time, service industries expanded steadily providing many further new job opportunities.

Alongside its production industry dominated base, traditionally the sub-region had a high degree of dependency on large plant enterprises. Individually these often employed many thousands of people and included such companies as the Leyland Motor Corporation, the British Aircraft Corporation, Royal Ordnance, Baxi Heating, General Electric, Courtaulds and many others. Post-1970, but particularly post-1980, as major restructuring and downsizing programmes were implemented, this proved a major handicap with the area receiving successive shocks from large scale closures and redundancies. Since 1970 some 45,000 manufacturing jobs have disappeared (or have been reclassified) in Central Lancashire reducing the sector's share of total jobs from 45% to only 13% in 2002. However, over the same period service industries created more than 89,000 new jobs, increasing its share of total employment from 45% to 78%.

Recent Employment Trends

Buoyant local growth in employment across a wide range of sectors over the mid- to late 1980s gave way to a severe downturn in the first half of the 1990s as the impact of the so-called "Peace Dividend" began to bite and as some of the sub-region's largest industrial employers highly dependent on defence work were forced into major restructuring and downsizing programmes in a bid to improve competitiveness. The energy and water supply sectors, now comprising privatised utilities, also under-went a bout of major rationalisation. This was a highly traumatic period involving many thousands of industrial job losses. In spite of the severe impact on many individuals, the area itself, however, appears to have quickly adapted to many of these losses undergoing a rapid recovery phased fuelled by new job opportunities in services.

Over the latest five-year period 1998-2002 Central Lancashire's employee workforce has grown to a total of over 209,000, an all-time high (Table 1). The net increase of 22,600 or 12.1% was well in excess of that achieved both nationally and in the North West Region. Many sectors contributed to this encouraging out-turn but most notable were continuing gains in Business Activities, a marked acceleration in Construction and expansion in Education.

Table 1 Central Lancashire Employee Jobs, 1998-2002
  1998 2002 Change 1998-2002 2002
No. % % Share
           
Agriculture, forestry, fishing 4,000 3,100 -900 -21.8 1.5
Mining, energy & water 900 600 -300 -38.5 0.3
Manufacturing 34,100 27,500 -6,600 -19.2 13.1
Construction 8,700 14,700 6,000 69.0 7.0
Wholesale & retail distribution 37,500 37,600 200 0.5 18.0
Hotels & restaurants 11,200 12,200 1,000 8.8 5.8
Transport & communication 11,300 12,700 1,500 13.1 6.1
Financial intermediation 5,400 5,500 100 1.3 2.6
Real Estate, business activities 19,900 29,100 9,200 46.4 13.9
Public administration & defence 12,200 15,200 3,100 25.4 7.3
Education 15,000 19,400 4,400 29.3 9.3
Health & social work 21,100 22,200 1,200 5.6 10.6
Other services 5,800 9,500 3,800 65.8 4.6
           
ALL EMPLOYEE JOBS 186,900 209,500 22,600 12.1 100.0
           
LANCASHIRE NUTS-2 566,300 599,600 33,300 5.9
           
North West (thousands) 2,799.4 2,974.1 174.7 6.7
           
Great Britain (thousands) 24,358.4 25,548.1 1,189.7 4.9
Source ONS - Annual Business Inquiry
Note Numbers may not sum due to rounding

Within the sub-region jobs growth was strongest in Chorley and South Ribble (Table 2). In spite of a pause in employment growth in Preston over the early part of the period due in some measure to local government reorganisation, job creation here has also recently accelerated and the City remains by far the largest single work centre in the County. It has moved a long way from its industrial roots and today nearly 84% of its employees are engaged in services. This reflects the importance of the town as an office, administrative and commercial centre for Lancashire, attracting daily commuters from all parts of the County and beyond.

Table 2 Employee Job Change by District, 1998-2002
District 1998 2002 Change 1998-2002
No. %
         
Chorley 31,500 39,900 8,400 +26.9
Preston 78,700 86,400 7,700 +9.8
South Ribble 36,400 42,200 5,800 +15.8
West Lancashire 40,300 41,000 +700 +1.7
         
CENTRAL LANCASHIRE 186,900 209,500 22,600 +12.1
Source ONS - Annual Business Inquiry

Industrial Structure Characteristics

Manufacturing industry, which for many years has taken the brunt of job losses in the sub-region recorded a further decline over the 1998-2002 period. An additional 6,600 jobs (-19.2%) were lost over the period resulting in total employment in the sector falling to a low of 27,500. The industry as a whole now accounts for only 13.1% of employee jobs in Central Lancashire (against 27% as recently as 1989). This share is now fractionally below the national average of 13.4%, and locally ranges from just 8.5% in Preston to 20.6% in South Ribble.

Within the manufacturing sector the engineering group of industries (SIC classifications 27 -35) continues to have a strong presence, accounting for about 42% of all manufacturing jobs in the sub-region. Though to a far lesser extent than hitherto, these industries are still heavily influenced by a few large establishments of national and multi-national companies. They include Motor Vehicles (3,000 jobs) - for instance, Leyland Trucks and Albion Automotive; Machinery & Equipment (2,800 jobs) - e.g. Goss Graphic Systems, Royal Ordnance; Fabricated Metal Products (2,700 jobs) - e.g. Baxi Heating, Bosal UK; and Electrical & Optical Equipment (2,500 jobs) - e.g. Alstom Traction and Marconi Communications. Other than engineering, the largest manufacturing sectors in the area are Food & Beverages and Paper, Printing & Publishing.

Amongst other primary and production industries agricultural employment remains important particularly in West Lancashire District, though job numbers continue to fall steadily year-on-year. In contrast, there has been a huge surge in jobs associated with the construction industry with total employment increasing by 6,000 or by more than two-thirds between 1998-2002 to reach 14,700. New public investment in education and health capital projects together with buoyant housing and commercial markets have all contributed to this major up-turn. The two major employers in this sector are the AMEC Group in Adlington, and Enterprise plc, based in Leyland.

It is the service sector, which now provides the great proportion of local employee jobs opportunities, in 2002 accounting for over 78% of all jobs in the sub-region. The momentum of services growth continued apace between 1998-2002 with an additional 24,000 jobs (+17.5%) recorded over the period.

Over much of the 1990s consumer and business activities were key drivers of employment growth in Central Lancashire. Retail distribution was particularly buoyant, adding many thousands of new jobs. Business services too, including such activities as real estate, leasing, computer services, law, accountancy and labour recruitment also expanded at an unprecedented rate. Over the more recent period Business Activities have continued to expand apace with job numbers rising by over 9,000 (+47%), 1988-2002, but retail net jobs growth has virtually halted. The new drivers have reflected central government's large public expenditure programme. As well as its impact on the construction industry (see above) this has helped boost activity in key public service areas including education, health and public administration and defence (including judicial activities and public security, law and order). These three core "public service" areas (which include many services provided by the private sector) increased their employee job head count by nearly 9,000 or 18% between 1998-2002.

Whilst the overall expansion of such service sector employment directly reflected public expenditure and the secular growth of consumer and commercial services generally, it also mirrored to some extent job losses and structural changes experienced in manufacturing as part of the latter's tendency to hive-off and buy-in non-core service activities. The full impact of this "jobs transfer" is impossible to measure but appears to have been particularly strong in the computer and related activities sector, in legal accountancy and consultancy activities as well as in more routine services such as industrial cleaning, security and labour recruitment.

Many of the technical business services are of high calibre and often of a high tech or creative nature and where previously they were in-house and often served the needs of just the single company, are now marketed much more widely often on a national or even international basis. This movement towards the out-sourcing of specialised support services complements the increasing desire of many companies to employ staff on a more flexible basis.

Viewed in slightly greater detail, there were a number of individual service sectors that made an outstanding contribution to local jobs growth 1998-2002. Ranked in order of net new jobs created, these included the following:

8010 Primary education
7511 General (overall) public service activities
8514 Other human health activities
7460 Investigation and security activities
6412 Courier activities other than national post activities
7470 Industrial cleaning
7220 Software consultancy and supply
5242 Retail sale of clothing
7412 Accounting, book-keeping, auditing, etc.
9262 Other sporting activities
5530 Restaurants
7484 Other business activities nec
8030 Higher education
7450 Labour recruitment & provision of personnel
9305 Other service activities nec
5154 Wholesale of hardware, plumbing & heating equipment
7524 Public security, law & order activities
8532 Social work activities without accommodation
8042 Adult and other education nec
9261 Operation of sports arenas & stadiums
9302 Hairdressing & other beauty treatment
7020 Letting of own property
6330 Activities of travel agencies, tour operators, etc.

Table 3 Estimated Employee Jobs by District, 1929-2002
  Chorley Preston South Ribble West Lancashire CENTRAL LANCASHIRE
           
1929 23,400 67,700 18,400 9,000 118,400
1939 25,200 69,500 19,300 10,500 124,500
1943 32,400 67,900 17,200 11,700 129,200
1944 28,300 65,200 17,000 10,300 120,800
1945 26,500 60,600 16,800 10,200 114,000
1946 22,100 69,000 17,800 11,800 120,700
1947 22,600 74,900 18,400 11,700 127,600
1948 24,900 87,000 20,900 13,300 146,100
1950 25,200 87,800 21,400 13,300 147,700
1951 25,100 87,900 21,300 13,500 147,800
1952 28,600 83,200 23,200 14,200 149,100
1953 28,300 80,600 23,300 13,500 145,600
1954 29,700 80,800 23,900 13,500 147,900
1955 28,300 81,400 24,300 13,800 147,700
1956 28,000 83,500 25,200 13,800 150,400
1957 27,400 84,000 24,900 13,700 150,000
1958 27,100 82,800 24,800 14,100 148,800
1959 27,300 84,100 24,100 13,600 149,100
1960 27,500 83,900 25,100 13,500 150,000
1961 26,700 85,400 25,400 13,600 151,000
1962 26,300 84,800 25,400 13,700 150,200
1963 25,500 85,200 24,600 14,300 149,600
1964 24,500 86,900 25,100 14,500 151,000
1965 24,300 84,400 26,600 15,700 150,900
1966 25,000 83,100 26,400 18,300 152,700
1967 23,400 84,300 26,600 20,700 155,000
1968 24,500 85,300 26,200 21,900 157,900
1969 25,800 87,300 27,000 22,900 163,000
1970 24,300 86,100 27,800 25,500 163,800
1971 23,300 83,200 28,200 27,100 161,800
1972 22,400 83,100 27,500 27,800 160,800
1973 23,100 78,200 30,600 29,900 161,800
1974 23,600 77,100 31,400 31,700 163,900
1975 23,100 74,900 33,600 32,200 163,800
1976 24,500 72,400 34,400 30,900 162,100
1977 24,600 76,200 33,100 29,900 163,700
1978 25,500 73,300 35,000 30,500 164,200
1981 24,600 70,700 34,100 31,100 160,500
1984 24,000 65,000 33,300 32,000 154,400
1987 24,400 68,400 33,200 33,000 159,000
1989 27,600 71,500 35,000 34,800 168,900
1991 29,000 68,000 31,000 36,600 164,600
1993 27,600 68,300 30,500 36,800 163,100
1995 29,100 78,500 33,600 38,800 179,800
1996 29,300 81,000 34,300 39,200 183,800
1997 30,400 81,300 34,900 40,400 187,000
1998 31,400 78,700 36,400 40,300 186,800
1999 32,400 78,700 37,800 39,200 188,200
2000 36,100 78,900 39,700 39,6700 194,300
2001 37,500 82,700 40,800 40,600 201,600
2002 39,900 86,400 42,200 41,000 209,500
Note Pre-1971 data based on best fit of local employment exchange areas. The introduction of the new Annual Business Inquiry and the re-scaling of earlier years' estimates back to 1995 introduced a major discontinuity into the long-term data series, apparently adding between 5-6,000 employees across East Lancashire not previously identified in the Census of Employment/Annual Employment Survey. The more recent estimates accord more closely with results from the national Labour Force Surveys.
Source Ministry of Labour/ONS - ERII Employment Records

This page was compiled by Peter Kivell.

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